Uber’s CEO explains why the app’s arrival estimates are ‘almost always’ wrong

In a rare public response, Kalanick explained in a series of tweets that Uber statistically guesses on the time estimate, which is “almost always” different than the actual time it takes to arrive. But that statistically expected time will be less wrong or different on average than guessing each time, Kalanick wrote. In suburbs or rural areas, that time may be longer because the next closest car to accept the ride is likely farther away. But in major cities, the total wait time is, on average, down to only three minutes, Kalanick said.